What the new constituency boundaries mean for the next election
They reveal the mountain Labour still has to climb to win power.
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Elections
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Elections
Who would win if an election was held today?
How the House of Commons would look according to our latest modelling
Who will win the Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-election?
A Labour gain in the SNP-held seat is likely but not certain in the febrile Scottish political climate.
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Super Thursday confirms the Tories’ downward spiral
The Conservatives saved Uxbridge and South Ruislip but lost the other two by-elections – including Labour’s record-breaking victory in Selby…
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Who will win the Somerton and Frome by-election?
The Liberal Democrats would have to do something very, very wrong to lose the Somerset seat to the Tories.
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Who will win the Uxbridge and South Ruislip by-election?
Labour may start the favourite in the race for Boris Johnson’s former seat but electoral hazards remain.
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Would Labour really win Mid Bedfordshire?
An array of unusual factors mean Keir Starmer’s party could take Nadine Dorries’ rural seat.
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Want to forecast the Selby and Ainsty by-election? Try flipping a coin
But the result will tell us whether Labour really is on course for a landslide at the next election.
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