No Tory councils here – our forecast for the 2025 English Local Elections
The Conservatives can expect a bad night. But all eyes are on Reform.
By
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Ben Walker is a senior data journalist at the New Statesman and the co-founder of Britain Elects. He needed to be asked twice to write this bio. ben.walker@newstatesman.co.uk
The Conservatives can expect a bad night. But all eyes are on Reform.
By Ben Walker
Uxbridge, Mid Bedfordshire and Selby are all up for grabs this summer.
By Ben Walker
As the economy improves, immigration becomes a bigger issue for voters
By Ben Walker
The broad contours of this election are easy to predict. The scale of Tory freefall remains uncertain.
By Ben Walker
General elections are more than personal popularity contests.
By Ben Walker
Constituency visits can tell us a lot about a party's electoral strategy.
By Ben Walker
The party's foundations are not as sturdy as the numbers imply.
By Ben Walker
The return of Nigel Farage is enough to tip the balance.
By Ben Walker
Though polls almost always narrow just before an election, 2024 is not normal.
By Ben Walker
The definitive forecast model – how the country will vote according to Britain Predicts
By Ben Walker