Who would win if an election was held today?
How the House of Commons would look according to our latest modelling
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Politics
Why are the polls overestimating Reform?
The successor to the Brexit Party isn’t as popular as it appears – but the Tories aren’t benefiting in elections.
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Will the UK government’s veto of Scottish legislation drive support for independence?
Yes, but not for the reasons you think.
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Only half of Tory voters would be unhappy with Keir Starmer as prime minister
Nearly a quarter of Conservative voters say they would be “satisfied” with a Labour win at the next general election.
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How Labour has overtaken the Conservatives in “Sea Wall” battlegrounds
YouGov polling shows that Labour leads the Conservatives by 38 per cent to 32 per cent in the UK’s coastal…
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Voters want radical constitutional change, polling shows
There is strong public support for Labour proposals such as abolishing the House of Lords and devolving power from Westminster.
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Is climate change still a priority for voters?
Despite the heatwaves of the summer, the issue now appears less pressing to many voters as they contend with the…
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Does Scotland want independence? The latest polls
Scotland voted No in 2014, but have Brexit and Covid flipped public opinion for good?
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