Business confidence in Labour remains high
Finally, some rare good polling news for Keir Starmer's party.
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Labour
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Labour
Does it matter that Keir Starmer is doing badly in the polls?
With this large of a majority, perhaps not. But a new Conservative leader could capitalise on the moment.
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Winter fuel payments is a sour policy for voters that vote
Pensioners don't like Labour generally, but the optics matter.
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Reform isn’t going anywhere
As the economy improves, immigration becomes a bigger issue for voters
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How bad can it get for the Conservatives?
The broad contours of this election are easy to predict. The scale of Tory freefall remains uncertain.
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A Jeremy Corbyn win is unlikely, but not impossible
General elections are more than personal popularity contests.
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Rishi Sunak’s campaign tour shows he is nervous
Constituency visits can tell us a lot about a party's electoral strategy.
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Welsh Labour is in trouble
The party's foundations are not as sturdy as the numbers imply.
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