Our local election forecast for 2022
We predict that the Conservatives will lose more than 200 council seats, while Labour gains around 150.
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Britain in numbers
We predict that the Conservatives will lose more than 200 council seats, while Labour gains around 150.
ByThe number of Tory voters defecting directly to Keir Starmer’s party, rather than abstaining, has increased.
ByThe British public has a clear consensus on many “culture war” issues that are perceived in Westminster as divisive, such…
ByIn the capital, Labour is tasked with improving on its best result for 45 years in 2018.
ByAlmost two thirds of people think the government has contributed to the cost-of-living crisis.
ByNot only are the Tories now behind in the headline polls, but Labour is leading on the economy.
ByOne pollster has Rishi Sunak's ratings falling from plus six to minus 20 in a month.
ByA new poll finds a 17-point Conservative lead over Labour in rural counties has collapsed to just two points.
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