Our local election forecast for 2022
We predict that the Conservatives will lose more than 200 council seats, while Labour gains around 150.
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Polling
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Polling
Labour’s smaller poll leads might be stronger than they seem
The number of Tory voters defecting directly to Keir Starmer’s party, rather than abstaining, has increased.
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Exclusive poll reveals 61 per cent of Tories and Leavers think most white people have racial bias
The British public has a clear consensus on many “culture war” issues that are perceived in Westminster as divisive, such…
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How will London vote in the 2022 local elections?
In the capital, Labour is tasked with improving on its best result for 45 years in 2018.
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Are you better off? Conservatives may come to fear “the Reagan question”
Almost two thirds of people think the government has contributed to the cost-of-living crisis.
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How much danger are the Conservatives in?
Not only are the Tories now behind in the headline polls, but Labour is leading on the economy.
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Decline and Fall: Boris Johnson and Rishi Sunak in numbers
One pollster has Rishi Sunak's ratings falling from plus six to minus 20 in a month.
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How rural voters are turning on the Tories
A new poll finds a 17-point Conservative lead over Labour in rural counties has collapsed to just two points.
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