Why are the polls overestimating Reform?
The successor to the Brexit Party isn’t as popular as it appears – but the Tories aren’t benefiting in elections.
ByA general election allows people in every constituency in the UK to elect an MP to represent them in the House of Commons for up to five years. These are the latest results from opinion polls.
The successor to the Brexit Party isn’t as popular as it appears – but the Tories aren’t benefiting in elections.
ByUxbridge, Mid Bedfordshire and Selby are all up for grabs this summer.
ByWe should be sceptical of an Ashcroft poll that suggests the former PM has a 17-point lead over Labour in…
ByWe should not assume that uniform swing will reassert itself and benefit the Conservatives at the next election.
ByBy winning voters across the demographic spectrum and boosting turnout, the Greens have broken the laws of local politics.
ByDetailed analysis of the local election results suggests the polls are right – and that Keir Starmer can be confident…
ByLabour needs to show it can win – not just in its old heartlands but in deep Tory territory too.
ByKeir Starmer’s personal poll ratings are nothing to celebrate, but that may not matter.
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