Want to forecast the Selby and Ainsty by-election? Try flipping a coin
But the result will tell us whether Labour really is on course for a landslide at the next election.
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Find the latest approval ratings of politicians and political figures in the UK.
Triple by-election bonanza due – here’s what to expect
Uxbridge, Mid Bedfordshire and Selby are all up for grabs this summer.
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Will Boris Johnson really win in Uxbridge?
We should be sceptical of an Ashcroft poll that suggests the former PM has a 17-point lead over Labour in…
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Is Labour’s poll lead being overstated?
We should not assume that uniform swing will reassert itself and benefit the Conservatives at the next election.
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The 2023 English local elections – what to watch out for
Labour needs to show it can win – not just in its old heartlands but in deep Tory territory too.
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Can the Greens sustain their gains in May’s local elections?
All this potential comes with risk.
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Can Brand Rishi save the Tories?
Keir Starmer’s personal poll ratings are nothing to celebrate, but that may not matter.
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Will an October 2024 election give the Tories time to recover?
The Prime Minister can go long but, like John Major and Gordon Brown before him, he can’t wish away the…
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