Labour is on course for a majority at the general election
Detailed analysis of the local election results suggests the polls are right – and that Keir Starmer can be confident…
ByBy-election polls
A UK parliamentary by-election occurs when a seat in the House of Commons becomes vacant between general elections. By-election polls ask people from the constituency under election conditions about their local area and who they will vote for. Here’s the latest polling data from State of the Nation.
Will Jeremy Corbyn win Islington North as an Independent?
He has been the local MP for 40 years, but will that be enough?
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West Lancashire remains a sturdy brick in the red wall
In a by-election marked by apathy, the Conservatives are set to fall to their worst result in the constituency.
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How big does Labour’s lead need to be to win a majority at the next election?
Other pollsters think Labour needs to be 13 points ahead of the Conservatives. Here’s why they’re wrong.
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Why Labour is heading for a record victory in the Chester by-election
The party’s relentless campaign in the former Conservative seat has been a model for others.
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Who would win a Tamworth by-election?
If Christopher Pincher resigns as an MP, does Labour have a chance to win again?
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Will tactical voting doom the Tories at the next election?
A more fluid and less tribal electorate could spell trouble for the Conservatives as they bid to cling to power.
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Who will win the Wakefield and Tiverton and Honiton by-elections?
The Tories will try to spin defeat as midterm blues, but the situation appears far worse than that.
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